Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.711735 0.835214 0.968812 1.123505 1.297078 1.485213 1.703922
2025-09-14 0.512893 0.683640 0.886561 1.142513 1.453561 1.816067 2.267014
2025-09-21 0.365089 0.550147 0.790296 1.117339 1.542994 2.069767 2.761574
2025-09-28 0.282610 0.476067 0.747437 1.141890 1.685002 2.390025 3.355654
2025-10-05 0.223382 0.418137 0.711680 1.163881 1.817547 2.700935 3.953522
2025-10-12 0.178844 0.370551 0.679705 1.181828 1.939655 3.000199 4.549026
2025-10-19 0.140805 0.323487 0.638540 1.177007 2.023316 3.246408 5.081077
2025-10-26 0.108039 0.276713 0.588359 1.148744 2.064929 3.430292 5.530572
2025-11-02 0.087313 0.247395 0.562226 1.154226 2.155547 3.687098 6.093103
2025-11-09 0.066355 0.211024 0.516038 1.118043 2.173632 3.832597 6.495883
2025-11-16 0.053949 0.190278 0.495708 1.123860 2.258836 4.082708 7.062671
2025-11-23 0.042879 0.168993 0.470050 1.115718 2.317870 4.292584 7.574889
2025-11-30 0.036877 0.159961 0.469914 1.157982 2.470536 4.664766 8.361876
2025-12-07 0.030875 0.148744 0.462985 1.186153 2.600522 5.007543 9.119239
2025-12-14 0.023485 0.129558 0.433313 1.163822 2.636050 5.195219 9.638014
2025-12-21 0.019588 0.120766 0.427465 1.190713 2.764565 5.544521 10.429342
2025-12-28 0.016225 0.112260 0.420550 1.214097 2.887305 5.888683 11.223966
2026-01-04 0.013306 0.103901 0.412204 1.232930 3.001766 6.222661 12.012586
2026-01-11 0.010345 0.093213 0.394696 1.228061 3.068054 6.473895 12.671041
2026-01-18 0.007541 0.080762 0.368605 1.198880 3.082005 6.631159 13.175276
2026-01-25 0.005920 0.073612 0.357370 1.204570 3.167704 6.920709 13.912963
2026-02-01 0.004107 0.062816 0.330753 1.167150 3.158790 7.035153 14.351637
2026-02-08 0.003173 0.057344 0.321275 1.173172 3.243003 7.324759 15.102012